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Re: Republican Convention
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Oh, look another claim without any support. Feel free to break down why you think 538's methodology is flawed.
Posted on: 2016/11/4 21:00
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Re: Republican Convention
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Is Nate Silver right? Most polling models show Hillary Clinton winning easily. Why is 538 more cautious? By STEVEN SHEPARD 11/04/16 11:55 AM EDT "The latest RealClearPolitics projections have the race teetering on a knife?s edge. But other, more complex forecast models ? based on the same polls ? give Clinton a 98 percent or 99 percent chance of defeating Trump next Tuesday. "As of noon Friday, the models and polling averages ranged from RealClearPolitics? close-to-tied electoral map ? if Florida were to flip back to Trump, he would be ahead in the Electoral College ? to HuffPost Pollster and the Princeton Election Consortium, which each show Clinton?s chances close to 100 percent, and Daily Kos Elections? model gives Clinton a 91 percent chance of winning. In the middle are models from two high-profile data-journalism sites, FiveThirtyEight and The New York Times? Upshot. But those two models aren?t in complete agreement, either. FiveThirtyEight?s ?polls-only? model pegs Clinton?s chances at 67.8 percent as of late Friday morning, while the Upshot model is more bullish at 84 percent." http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11 ... e-silver-538-right-230734 I believe that Nate Silver will be wrong. And when will this thing wrap up? https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/ar ... -334pm%3Ahomepage%2Fstory
Posted on: 2016/11/4 20:57
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Re: Republican Convention
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He already has a wall paid for by his donors so anything is possible.
https://secure.donaldjtrump.com/djtsvi ... all-splash-100&amount=100
Posted on: 2016/11/4 20:07
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Re: Republican Convention
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If Trump wins (in his dreams), will he be also building a 'wall' along the Canadian Border or is it just the Mexicans he doesn't like and discriminate against?
Posted on: 2016/11/4 20:02
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My humor is for the silent blue collar majority - If my posts offend, slander or you deem inappropriate and seek deletion, contact the webmaster for jurisdiction.
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Re: Republican Convention
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Good shape =/= no chance of losing You're being intellectually dishonest and no one is buying it.
Posted on: 2016/11/4 19:34
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Re: Republican Convention
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Clinton is still in very good shape-
http://www.270towin.com/news/2016/11/ ... -of-november-3rd_407.html Unless the polling is way off I don't see how she can lose.
Posted on: 2016/11/4 19:31
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Re: Republican Convention
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It's incorrect to say "he will lose." No one knows yet. Regarding 538, their prediction methodology is on display. Feel free to critique if you can. And you said he doesn't have a chance at winning. That's clearly false. Again, I think Trump is a disaster. But you're being foolish.
Posted on: 2016/11/4 18:55
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Re: Republican Convention
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The race is getting tighter, more excitement I guess but fundamentals are the same. Trump will lose. http://election.princeton.edu/ Nate Silver - 538 has sold out to get page hits in my opinion. But on Tuesday night I'll be consuming some alcohol...
Posted on: 2016/11/4 18:46
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Re: Republican Convention
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I think Trump is a disaster but you're a fool if you don't think Trump doesn't have a chance at winning. 538 has him at 33% right now. Wake up and pay attention.
Posted on: 2016/11/4 18:17
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Re: Republican Convention
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Posted on: 2016/11/4 17:57
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Re: Republican Convention
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[quote]
iGreg wrote: Obama fervor filled stadiums Ppl lined up to attend He had a weird assed name / ppl said he could never be Prez. [quote] When Romney ran, blue collar and lower middle class white guys stayed home on election night. This time around, this is Trump's most ardent supporters.
Posted on: 2016/11/4 17:52
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Re: Republican Convention
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Go ahead and cherry pick factoids. Trump doesn't believe in climate change and also doesn't believe in scientific polling. No sense arguing about it, we'll know soon enough. To be continued on Wed...
Posted on: 2016/11/4 17:42
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Re: Republican Convention
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I'm concerned that Trump supporters are deluded into believing that he has a real shot at winning. It isn't going to happen, unless something huge drops this weekend. Anything is possible in this election.
Posted on: 2016/11/4 17:39
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Re: Republican Convention
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Obama fervor filled stadiums
Ppl lined up to attend He had a weird assed name / ppl said he could never be Prez. Quote:
Posted on: 2016/11/4 15:58
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Re: Republican Convention
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Possible. Depends on turnout. There are more D voters than R voters, but H has had issues with enthusiasm: Local campaign headquarters with almost no volunteers Her people complaining about the lack of enthusiasm (via Wikileaks). Using a green-screen to make it look like Hillary had a big crowd show up. Tim Kaine having less than 40 people show up at a rally then cancelling further rallies. Etc. Trump has been playing full houses and his people are pretty damn pumped. They are going to turn out to the polls. Will it be enough to throw MI or PA Trump's way? No idea. With cell phones, polling just doesn't have the accuracy it did years back. I.e. the polls had H winning big in the primary in Michigan... Sanders clobbered her. Will Sanders people go to the polls in sufficient numbers to put Hillary in office?
Posted on: 2016/11/4 15:49
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Re: Republican Convention
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Not sure what the point of the question is about. I am voting against Hillary , both her public face and her private face. Nearly every policy position she espouses is wrong Her job is to keep Wall Street happy, If Bill , Hillary and Chelsea can just skim a little bit of the global trillion dollar scam while selling out America, no problem. After all they feel they are enlightened and entitled to it all. And a vote for them enables their narcissism and corruption.
Posted on: 2016/11/4 15:38
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Re: Republican Convention
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Quote:
Do you honestly believe that Trump will win?
Posted on: 2016/11/4 14:45
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Re: Republican Convention
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And never a truer word spoken about Hillary.
Posted on: 2016/11/4 0:53
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Re: Republican Convention
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Get a load of who Melania Trump is plagiarizing now!
Yes, she is plagiarizing her predecessor, The Donald's other ex, Marla Maples. And hilariously, it all comes from an interview conducted in May, 2011. http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/ ... Trump-is-plagiarizing-now
Posted on: 2016/11/3 21:10
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Re: Republican Convention
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Posted on: 2016/11/3 20:47
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My humor is for the silent blue collar majority - If my posts offend, slander or you deem inappropriate and seek deletion, contact the webmaster for jurisdiction.
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Re: Republican Convention
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More on Trump and taxes. No wonder he didn't release his tax returns.
Donald Trump?s Income Isn?t Always What He Says It Is, Records Suggest http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politic ... ecords-suggest/ar-AAjRjEP
Posted on: 2016/11/3 19:05
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Re: Republican Convention
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One doesn't equal another. Either there is evidence or there isn't. Rumors, which is all that book contains, exist. Rumors are not facts. I know that is a difficult concept for you, but I suggest you learn it. As for your quote... All that states is that Bill was paid very well for speaking. Big deal. How is that illegal or corrupt? Facts, sir. Provide them or go back to hiding under your white sheet...
Posted on: 2016/11/3 17:14
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Dos A Cero
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Re: Republican Convention
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A Trump Tower Goes Bust in Canada
"Trump has vowed to run the country the way he runs his businesses, and Trump Toronto is yet another reminder that his businesses do not always run smoothly" http://www.politico.com/magazine/stor ... r-goes-bust-canada-214412
Posted on: 2016/11/3 16:56
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Re: Republican Convention
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It's a fact that Trump business ventures are taking a dive as Trump share prices drop and his businesses suffer - Take your money out now, before it's too late.
Trump has forgotten that he might get the 'poor' vote but it's the wealthy that pays his bills! http://www.cnbc.com/2016/10/17/trump- ... september-data-shows.html
Posted on: 2016/11/3 2:47
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My humor is for the silent blue collar majority - If my posts offend, slander or you deem inappropriate and seek deletion, contact the webmaster for jurisdiction.
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Re: Republican Convention
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You have never tried to reason with me. Only to intentionally distort what I say. As well as deflect truthful attacks against Hillary.
Posted on: 2016/11/2 21:34
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Re: Republican Convention
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I don't know what to say to you. This is just not my position... I never said that. I just find your positions despicable and feel I have to speak against them. I guess it is a lost cause to try to reason with you...
Posted on: 2016/11/2 21:32
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Re: Republican Convention
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You have a very clear agenda of bringing as many Muslim immigrants over here as possible (not talking about current American citizens), and if the parties had reversed immigration positions, you'd be the first one attacking Hillary. Luckily this issue is beyond our control, and I feel good about the polls. But keep deflecting from the proof I posted about Hillary's corruption.
Posted on: 2016/11/2 21:23
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Re: Republican Convention
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I don't have an agenda, I have opinions. You are the one with an agenda, a very racist one, one that I personally find terrifying...
Posted on: 2016/11/2 21:18
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Re: Republican Convention
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You are intentionally derailing from the proof of Hillary's corruption I posted after I was asked. At least you admit your obvious motives behind your continued defense of this criminal candidate. I get the feeling you're a single issue guy, and if the parties' immigration positions were reversed, you'd be the loudest one here going after Hillary for her corruption.
Posted on: 2016/11/2 21:08
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