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Re: This N.J. city wants you to 'adopt' a catch basin and keep it clean
#1
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I have been doing this and de-weeding the catch basin in front of my place for the past 14 years... for whatever its worth.

I used to have major flooding issues, with water blasting out of the manhole covers during heavy rain, and my roof drain then backing up into my basement. I found at old engineering map that showed where the sewers went. I used that map to list every catch basin that was backing that was downstream of my building, sending it over to the MUA.

JCMUA, to their credit, did promptly followup and investigated. The sewer it turns out had multiple collapses and was badly plugged with debris. The collapse was so bad with the basin in front of my place that the JCMUA dug up the street and put in a bypass pipe.

Drainage worked a lot better after all the work was done with backups gone except during really extreme downpours.

The city's 150+ year old system is in dire need of a major rehabilitation. Money fixes everything.... the question is, where will the money come from?

Posted on: 10/12 11:02
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Re: New owner/landlord isn't cashing rent checks
#2
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Ever thought about approaching the owner about paying you to leave?

Open the negotiations say at a payment worth 30 months of rent, placed in escrow, payable once you leave the property within 90 days of the money being deposited into escrow.

Posted on: 10/10 20:30
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Re: Matsikoudis want to expand rent control?
#3
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Quote:

JCGuys wrote:
Those affordable housing advocates do a piss poor job, too. In addition to increasing density, relaxing parking requirements is one way to bring the cost down for development.


I would love to see some major R-3/R-4 projects that would involve the expansion of the light rail to the Heights and beyond.

As covered in other threads, the Heights is a bit of a transportation desert (buses get caught in traffic too often). A number of my tenants don't bother having a car since they take PATH, light rail, buses to work.

Posted on: 10/10 15:16
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Re: Matsikoudis want to expand rent control?
#4
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Quote:

bodhipooh wrote:

We seldom agree on anything, but on this we are 100% in agreement: once you start down the slippery slope of housing price controls, why stop there? This idea we can limit a market-driven system by screwing over someone in favor of another is completely bonkers, definitely reminiscent of dictatorial faux-populist regimes such as Venezuela, and the former USSR.


Chile in the early '70s under the Allende regime is a good example. Allende decided to "help the poor" by ordering all businesses to cut their prices. If you didn't, your business was nationalized.

Years ago I worked with a guy who's family business (a pharmacy) was seized by the regime for not following the price controls. The business was returned once Pinochet came to power.

There were shortages of everything. I read first hand accounts of people trying to trade a house for a working car due to a shortage of auto parts... let alone new vehicles.

Posted on: 10/10 13:34
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Re: New Equalized Valuations Out, JC at $28.4 billion
#5
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Quote:

JCGuys wrote:


I was thinking the same thing.

http://www.governing.com/gov-data/saf ... for-city-departments.html

I was looking at this link earlier and Jersey City, in 2015, already has one of the highest number of uniformed officers per capita in the entire country! There has been many officers added since then. Yes, much more than those that have retired.



Are they all in radio cars? I have never seen so much as a foot patrol in years. Back in Schundler days we had cops on bikes for a while (this was in response to some serious gang activity in the Heights).


Posted on: 10/6 17:29
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Re: Matsikoudis want to expand rent control?
#6
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Quote:

brewster wrote:
This explains why a rent controlled building with low rents would not be affected by a boom in the market for condos and smaller buildings.

This also explains why they're so appealing to buy cheap, bully or buy out the tenants and convert to condos, removing rentals from the market.


I turned a 5 unit building into a 4 since Condo wasn't an option. The apartments are huge.. I would have rather turned this into a 6 unit with smaller, less expensive units (easier to rent). Rent control + R-1 made that impossible.

Posted on: 10/5 10:12
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Re: Matsikoudis want to expand rent control?
#7
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Quote:

neverleft wrote:
They charge way below the market rate even in the “hot” areas of JC. They charge just enough rent to cover expenses and only raise the rent when taxes, water, or heating bills goes up. They keep the rent lower in order to retain nice long term tenants. They also put away a little extra to keep the buildings nice with outside painting, maintenance, and flower planters. Makes the neighborhood look nice.



During the recession, I cut rents across the board 20% in order to try to keep apartments occupied. I had one building with all H1-bs (Indians like to live with other Indians). It emptied out all at once because they all lost their jobs the same month.

Now my tenants won't move! I am way below market on several apartments. If I could do a refresh on the units, I would get a lot more $$$. I did some 3% increases this year.. still doesn't get me close to market.

Posted on: 10/2 15:32
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Re: Matsikoudis want to expand rent control?
#8
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Quote:

ThirdStreet wrote:
Hasn't rent controlled already been proven the world over to be responsible for dilapidated cities (Mumbai comes to mind), because it causes landord's to stop spending on the upkeep of their building? I am surprised anyone would propose this in 2017.


Yes...

It destroys housing stock and in the end, doesn't bring down housing costs. You get similar disastrous results when you put price controls on food, fuel, or any other commodity or service.

Bill will argue that there will be allowance (2% increase) to allow a landlord to do maintenance.... If it can be justified. Of course a landlord would need lawyers and accountants, complete with open tax ledgers in order to justify an increase.

Just what every guy on the planet wants to deal with.. an entrenched bureaucracy that has no financial stake in your property, but yet can dictate what your prices should be.

Years back during the Schundler admin, decontrol of long vacant buildings was done. I had a list (might still have it somewhere) of the buildings that were on the de-control list. The day after that law passed, a number of those buildings were sold / bought / and renovated. I was vying for two of them (near or on Montgomery.. not downtown) as they were multi-unit buildings and had been vacant for a very long time.

No dice.. deeper pockets snapped them up even before I could get an agent to show them to me. I watched them get renovated and rented by others.

Posted on: 10/2 15:24
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Re: Matsikoudis want to expand rent control?
#9
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Quote:

brewster wrote:
If he want's to solve the housing crisis it's easy, get rid of R-1 zoning.


I made that point to him... He just referred me to his 'white paper' on rent control.

It would also help to not have hit property owners with 85% in tax increases and 45% sewer rate increases...

Posted on: 10/2 14:52
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Re: Matsikoudis want to expand rent control?
#10
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I got this from Bill:


Take a look at the white paper on rent control. We are not advocating for the exact type of rent control that applies to 5 united and up to be applied to 4 and below but most residents live in buildings with less than 5 units and they are seeing double digit rent increase regularly and I've seen up to 25% in one year and 50% over 2 years. Some level of rent stabilization is needed and they're not advocating for specific number until we have community input from renters and landlords alike as well as experts. We are aware and our white paper talks of some of the of negative consequences of rent control. Listing rent increases to CPI sometimes leads to 0 or 1 % increase. Some town allow a minimum increase and I think we should like at allowing a base rent increase to enable repairs, maybe 2%. An audit is needed because we don't know how many rent controlled units there are in Jersey City or how many units are supposed to be restricted in what they can charge and what income restrictions are due to previous subsidies. In other words there are units in Jersey City that received subsidies so that the landlord would only charge a certain rent and allow only certain income people to rent but that are not following the guidelines.

Posted on: 10/2 13:00
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Matsikoudis want to expand rent control?
#11
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"undertake an affordable housing audit and revise our rent control laws to encompass more people and units that are currently exempt from such restrictions."


Christ... if this guy want to expand one of the most destructive policies ever to be inflicted on an urban center (other than carpet bombing), I might actually contribute to Fulop's campaign.

Posted on: 10/2 7:42
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Re: Anyone missing a white cat with orange & black spots in the Heights?
#12
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Mission failed. The little guy took off before I could get a towel around him. He is still hanging around my place in the bushes.. so if he is yours, PM me.

Posted on: 9/26 18:36
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Anyone missing a white cat with orange & black spots in the Heights?
#13
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Found this little guy alive, very scared, and wedged into the door leading down to the building laundry room. I don't think he is feral. He appears to be someones very young cat (looks a year or less old) that got out and has not wedged himself into the closest thing to a hole.

PM me if this fur ball belongs to you. I am going to attempt to get him to safety via a cat carrier and hold him for animal control.. or the owner can retrieve him/her.

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Posted on: 9/26 18:21

Edited by MDM on 2017/9/26 18:37:16
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Re: Come to City Hall this upcoming Wednesday to promote electric vehicle charging in JC #EVinJC
#14
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Quote:

brewster wrote:
Quote:

MDM wrote:
the USA will be a major gas exporter soon.


I think this should be illegal. Sure, a case can be made that we need to endure the evils of fracking for energy independence and reducing carbon emissions, but not for the greater profits of the carbon extraction industry.


You would be screwing a lot of people doing that. Mineral rights holders typically take on order of a 20% royalty on what is being pulled out of the ground. There are farmers getting five and six figured checks annually from what is being extracted out the ground.

Right now, about 35% to 40% of all the gas extracted in the USA is flared off as a waste product of oil drilling.. lost. This is due to the lack of infrastructure (pipelines) to get it to where it needs to go. I am following a couple companies that have developed small GTL plants that can be dropped into the oil field, turning that gas into light oils. Too early to tell if the technology is viable long term yet.

The gas extraction technology is getting so damn good that the gas industry is becoming profitable again (lots of bankruptcies after 2008). The cost per million BTU pulled out the ground keeps dropping. A single wellhead with horizontal drilling and 4D seismography can cover a radius of as much as 3.5 miles in any direction. So one well with a single riser, can cover something on the order of 38 square miles.

BTW: There are gas bearing formations in NJ (on land and off shore). Drilling wasn't economical under the technology available 30+ years ago.

Posted on: 9/17 19:24
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Re: Come to City Hall this upcoming Wednesday to promote electric vehicle charging in JC #EVinJC
#15
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Quote:

Monroe wrote:
Gee, where does the electricity come from to charge the batteries, lol?



Natural gas. Nuclear, which a decade go was the cheapest source of 24/7 power (excluding hydro) is now in trouble. NJ gets 50% of its power from nuclear. Over the next few years, that might be going to 0% as all three plants are money losers right now.

Gas might go up... A new LNG plant went online this year. I think seven more or so are under construction, so the USA will be a major gas exporter soon.

If oil goes back well above $65 per barrel, we will have two or three plants turning natural gas into fuel oils as well (oil it too cheap right now for this to happen).

Posted on: 9/17 16:56
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
#16
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Live cam of the eye wall passing through Naples FL

https://youtu.be/ZHvs1MdF04c

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Posted on: 9/10 16:35
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
#17
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Quote:

boomer wrote:
Oh goodness, this is a Category 4 storm. Max substained winds are 130 mph, just because you see lower wind speeds on the internet doesn't mean that storm is falling apart.



I know this storm is being called a Cat 4, but I can't pull up a single weather station that shows sustained hurricane force winds.

Here are two marine weather buoys in the Keys (Key West and Vaca Key). Look at the history as the storm approaches. The sustained winds never go beyond tropical storm speeds. Both these weather stations took direct hits this A.M. The pressure did drop with what you see typically with a Cat 3 storm.

https://www.wunderground.com/MAR/buoy/VCAF1.html

https://www.wunderground.com/MAR/buoy/KYWF1.html?MR=1

Even now, Irma hasn't moved too far north. These two stations should be getting blasted by hurricane force winds on the backside of the storm. They aren't.

The eye of Irma is now making a bee line for Naples Florida and has put Naples in a heavy storm band. Lots of rain (about 3 inches) but so far, the sustained winds are in the tropical storm range. 40 mph to 70 mph.


Posted on: 9/10 14:14
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
#18
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I just checked additional weather stations.. basically strong tropical storm / Cat - 1 sustained winds.

I am wondering if this is another Irene... super-hyped storm that suddenly falls apart as it approaches shore... turning into a major rain event rather than wind / storm surge.

Posted on: 9/10 12:01
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
#19
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When the eye went over Key West, the weather stations came back online. Lowest pressure was about 956 mbar which is more in line with a Cat 3 than a Cat 4.

Wind speeds around the eye were under 120 mph. My brother texted me that a reporter is on the pier in Key West and only reported a storm surge of 4 ft.


Posted on: 9/10 11:57
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
#20
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Posted on: 9/9 16:32
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
#21
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Posted on: 9/8 15:15
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
#22
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Euro and HWRF models updated. Both shift Irma a bit farther west with Keywest and Naples taking hits via the right side of the storm with Cat-5 winds and storm surge.

Posted on: 9/8 15:04
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
#23
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Quote:

stc4blues wrote:
Looks like once it clears out Florida Irma will be on a reverse Sherman's March. This looks very very bad.


I updated my brother... looks like he will be okay in Sarasota. The expanding eye wall will put him in Cat 1 or lower winds, which he should be able to ride out no problem.

The issue is also going to be flooding. Florida exited the drought it was having and has now had an excess of rain. At my parent's place in Naples, the retaining ponds are at the highest they have been in years. Add 7 inches of rain in 24 hours and there will be major flooding issues on top of the winds.

Posted on: 9/8 11:58
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
#24
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Quote:

jerseymom wrote:
MDM - any long term projections on Jose yet?


Possible threat to the east coast. I haven't listened to the details yet. Will do so during lunch.

Posted on: 9/8 11:55
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
#25
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Weatherbell update for the morning puts Irma almost dead up the center of Florida, with her weakening to a Cat 2 by Sunday. Wind gusts on the perimeter of the storm will still be in the 115 mph range. So far all the models except the GEM (Canadian) have very similar paths. The Canadian, which updated at midnight, still showed the storm going up the east coast of Florida, then making a second landfall in the Georgia / South Carolina region. The Canadian starts its next update around noon time today. The other models updated more recently.

The debate between the models is on intensity, which is between a strong Cat 4 to weaker Cat 5. I have included the HWRF model this time around as it does a good job showing estimated surface wind speeds.


Weatherbell Predicted Track

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Posted on: 9/8 10:16
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
#26
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The afternoon Euro model run wobbled the storm farther West. The eye of a Cat-4 storm will pass about 15 to 20 miles west of Naples, FL.

My brother has been trying to evacuate from Sarasota. He has a full tank of gas, which will get him out of FL.. but the route to Atlanta (where he has room reservations for his family) has no gas available.

It is very Mad Max / Road Warrior in nature. "Without fuel.. they were nothing..."

Posted on: 9/7 16:06
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
#27
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The models all seem to be coming into an agreement: Irma will hit South Florida then come up Florida’s East coast, making a 2nd landfall from Georgia to North Carolina. Weatherbell expects it to weaken to a Cat 4 as it passes near Cuba, then re-strengthen back to a Cat-5 when it approaches Florida (very warm water giving the storm energy). The Euro and GFS now have very similar tracks, with the GFS in a more easterly direction. The GFS has the pressure under 900 mbar, which is more intense than the Euro. Weatherbell thinks there is a 1:10 chance Irma will meet or exceed the strength of the 1935 hurricane that flattened the Florida Keys.

The GEM (Canadian) model is the farthest East, with the remnants of Irma burning out over Delaware & Maryland. With all tracks, Irma is basically a rain and generally crappy weather event around the end of next week.


Weatherbell Track as of this Morning

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Model Ensembles
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EURO

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GFS

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GEM

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Predicted Wave Heights

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Posted on: 9/7 10:16
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
#28
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Cat 5 effects on St. Martin

https://youtu.be/Hqyl_G4xGH0





Posted on: 9/6 17:04
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
#29
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Late afternoon, the models starting shifting Irma East. Some of the ensembles have the storm turning out to sea. Weatherbell updated their predicted track about an hour ago. Posted below. The yellow line is the previous predicted track:

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If the Weatherbell center track remains true, the Mid-Atlantic region will get a strong tropical storm Tue – Wed of next week. Southeast Florida and South Carolina will get the worst of it.


In regards to the models, Euro and GFS show the storm turning into the interior. Weatherbell is discounting this due to a high pressure building in the Mid-West. They think the storm is more likely to turn East. The Canadian (GEM) model shows the storm coming up the coast as a hurricane, but staying far enough out to sea to not be a disaster; eastern Long Island getting the worst of it.

Another forecaster (not associated with Weatherbell) is predicting the peak sustained winds will reach 200 mph

Model GIFs below.

EURO
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GFS
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GEM
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Posted on: 9/6 9:55
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
#30
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The afternoon updated models show Irma going inland and burning out. This would at worst give Jersey City some rain the middle of next week sometime.

A strike on Florida is 80%+ certain (per Weatherbell). The models are showing three possible scenarios:


GEM – Best Case
The GEM (Canadian) model has the storm shifting West, and hitting the islands before making landfall on the panhandle of Florida. The storm weakening to a strong Cat 2 or weak Cat 3

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Euro – Mid Case
Irma hits Cuba and weakens. Hits the western Keys as a Cat 4.

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GFS – Worst Case
A massive Cat-5 (exceeds Hurricane Andrew in wind speeds and diameter) lands with near 190 mph winds and flattens buildings in Homestead and Miami.

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The Euro and the GEM models show pressure but don’t show the wind speed (the colors are hard to read). Below is a chart that relates pressure to wind speeds. In regards to the GFS, hurricane Andrew landed with a pressure of 922 mbars. The GFS is predicting Irma hitting with under 900. This is what Andrew did to Homestead, FL.

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Posted on: 9/5 16:59
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