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Re: Over/under on mayor's race
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Quote:

jimbehrle wrote:
The last election ended up:

Fulop 14,675 votes
Healy 10,860 votes

Do you think Matsikoudis can get the same number as Healy?


Not at all. Incumbency is a powerful tool in politics, current office holders generally don't lose unless there's a really good reason to throw them out. Nate Silver of 538 gives the incumbency effect alone at least a 2-3% cushion that usually puts incumbents even in close races over the top. This is not forecasted to be close race.

Regardless of what morons like Yvonne think, the sentiment I hear from my neighbors and around town is that Fulop is still seen as superior to every preceding mayor, flaws and all and Jersey City is moving in a good direction.

Bill DeBlasio is probably a more inept and less effective mayor than Fulop and will still cruise to reelection with a crushing margin. I don't see why that won't be the case here.

Posted on: 10/27 18:16
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Re: Over/under on mayor's race
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The last election ended up:

Fulop 14,675 votes
Healy 10,860 votes

Do you think Matsikoudis can get the same number as Healy?

Posted on: 10/27 18:08
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Re: Over/under on mayor's race
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I can't tell for certain who will win for Mayor. News of the tapes and police are only emphasizing people's dissatisfaction with Fulop. People may just vote against him.

Posted on: 10/27 16:57
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Re: Over/under on mayor's race
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I like that elections are in November and now coincide with New Jersey State ones.

Posted on: 10/27 16:54
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Re: Over/under on mayor's race
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I thought she was gonna win too

Posted on: 10/27 16:53
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Re: Over/under on mayor's race
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I though Hilary Clinton was going to win last year by a landslide, so who knows...

Posted on: 10/27 16:33
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Re: Over/under on mayor's race
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low turnouts and money save is why we should have automatic runoffs in the future.

Vote for your candidate and second and third choice.

Posted on: 10/27 16:30
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Re: Over/under on mayor's race
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Run offs will be in December. Crowds will not be good for council races

Posted on: 10/27 16:15
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Re: Over/under on mayor's race
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Quote:

jimbehrle wrote:
Tough to say. The last mayoral election was in the summer of 2013. This one coincides with a gubernatorial campaign. Will turnout be demonstrably higher?

65/35?



At least that, if his winning percentage isn't in the 70s. Because the fat slob Yvonne and her minions in the neighborhood associations can't game the election anymore and have to compete with a general election sized crowd, their influence will be at a historic low.

Posted on: 10/27 16:05
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Re: Over/under on mayor's race
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Tough to say. The last mayoral election was in the summer of 2013. This one coincides with a gubernatorial campaign. Will turnout be demonstrably higher?

65/35?


Posted on: 10/27 13:20
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Over/under on mayor's race
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What is the thinking on the mayor's race? I've been traveling a lot the past several months and haven't been around much. In the week that I've been back, it doesn't seem like Matsikoudis is putting up much of a fight and it's an unusually small field (just the two of them) - how much does Fulop win by?

Posted on: 10/27 13:11
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