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Re: Coronavirus is now in Hudson County
#1
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Quote:

MDM wrote:
A mutated strain of Covid-19 is now causing deaths in Thailand. Patients come in without any of the typical Covid-19 symptoms (dry cough, diarrhea, etc.)

Instead they come into the hospital with a severe headache. Spinal taps reveal the virus present. Patients have been suffering a shutdown of their central nervous system which leads to death.

Link?

Posted on: 3/23 20:06
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Re: Coronavirus is now in Hudson County
#2
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Quote:

jerseymom wrote:
Okay, poll question for the day:
What do you miss most since moving to Coronaville?
Me?
1. Walking without abject fear of contamination.
2. Gino's pizza.
You? Begin.


Seriously, "abject fear"? Get a grip woman. Your odd of getting hit by a crappy JC driver while on a stroll on a given normal day are probably higher than catching Covid while walking outdoors, never mind dying from it.

I miss just sitting down at a local eatery for lunch.

Posted on: 3/22 22:06
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Re: Coronavirus is now in Hudson County
#3
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Quote:

MDM wrote:
A dissenting opinion on Covid (just for FYI):

https://medium.com/six-four-six-nine/e ... ria-covid-19-1b767def5894


Excerpt:

The results of their research show that COVID-19 doesn’t spread as easily as we first thought or the media had us believe (remember people abandoned their dogs out of fear of getting infected). According to their report if you come in contact with someone who tests positive for COVID-19 you have a 1–5% chance of catching it as well. The variability is large because the infection is based on the type of contact and how long.

The majority of viral infections come from prolonged exposures in confined spaces with other infected individuals. Person-to-person and surface contact is by far the most common cause. From the WHO report, “When a cluster of several infected people occurred in China, it was most often (78–85%) caused by an infection within the family by droplets and other carriers of infection in close contact with an infected person.



Another one from Richard Epstein of the Hoover Institute:

Podcast

https://www.hoover.org/research/coronavirus-isnt-pandemic


It is what it is. The fact that so many caregivers who were taking reasonable precautions have caught it shows to me that it's contagious enough to warrant the current situation. I personally don't want to roll a 20 sided die with every contact on whether I end up on a ventilator.

Posted on: 3/21 22:45
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Re: Coronavirus is now in Hudson County
#4
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Quote:

MDM wrote:
Quote:

brewster wrote:


My favorite economic sideshow is how this is going to affect the shale plays. I've been hearing for years none of it was ever actually profitable, that it was all basically a debt fueled Ponzi scheme. So while right now energy prices are in freefall, the recovery may be with no fracking and virtual banking subsidy of energy prices. Great for alternative energy in the long run, but no the short.

WTF has happened to American Capitalism? Milton Friedman basically destroyed it. We've become of nation of grasshoppers, having no idea how to save for a rainy day on an institutional level.


Fracking: Yes and no. Gas is for the most part barely or unprofitable. About 35% to 40% of all the gas pulled out of the ground in the USA is burned off as a waste product (comes up with the oil). Gas just got too cheap and will probably stay that way for years.

Oil is for many producers profitable. The Saudis already tried to kill the US domestic drillers back in 2016 and failed. The Saudis dropping the price of oil ended up accelerating the pace of innovation. New wells now are approaching break even cost to that of Saudi Arabia itself.

As for WTF happened: Private profits / socialized costs. There is a disincentive to be fiscally prudent when the government bails you out (i.e. Citibank) and an incentive to boost stock price artificially (bonuses , paying compensation in stock or stock options). You have to get rid of the former (my preference.. I prefer "the stupid will be punished" approach) or heavily regulate / ban the latter.


What I've heard is the production falloff on shale wells is so much faster than traditional that the capital is not recaptured. But like the subprime mess, there's so much smoke and mirrors on the books that money keeps flowing in like a Ponzi.

I don't recall if I've linked this here yet or not, but one of my favorite podcasts of all time is 2 Libertarian economists arguing over whether Big Capitalism is inevitably corrupt and rent seeking, and they found they could find no way way out. There's always a point where the next dollar spent is more profitable buying influence, protection and subsidy than investing in the business. You know I believe in capitalism, it's central to the rental RE game, but our Capitalists don't seem to.

https://www.econtalk.org/michael-munger-on-crony-capitalism/

Posted on: 3/19 22:35
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Re: Coronavirus is now in Hudson County
#5
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Quote:

bodhipooh wrote:
Now, imagine we were experiencing a mortality rate like that of Spain (5%) or Italy (8%)


If we're going to pick about numbers, lets start with the absurdity of those "mortality rates". The infection rates used are mostly for confirmed cases. Tested cases. In a situation where there's been nowhere near the kind of testing to get reliable numbers.

Most epidemiologists say there's something north of 4 unreported subclinical/subcritical cases for every confirmed. So if you took the number around for a while of 2.5%, in reality it's 0.5%. Bad, a lot of people unnecessarily dead, but not an 8% fatality rate.

Posted on: 3/19 20:26
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Re: Coronavirus is now in Hudson County
#6
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Quote:

MDM wrote:
I am getting worried the economic fallout is going to be worse than Covid itself.


My favorite economic sideshow is how this is going to affect the shale plays. I've been hearing for years none of it was ever actually profitable, that it was all basically a debt fueled Ponzi scheme. So while right now energy prices are in freefall, the recovery may be with no fracking and virtual banking subsidy of energy prices. Great for alternative energy in the long run, but no the short.

The other big story is how irresponsible corporate America has been with it's 'boom money", making Trump happy by raising stock prices at all cost. They not only put their tax windfall money into buybacks, they actually borrowed deeply to buy back stocks and give dividends to make the usual suspects wealthier. That's not what rational Capitalists do, it's the MO of corporate raiders. WTF has happened to American Capitalism? Milton Friedman basically destroyed it. We've become of nation of grasshoppers, having no idea how to save for a rainy day on an institutional level.

Posted on: 3/19 15:30
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Re: Coronavirus is now in Hudson County
#7
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Quote:

That can't be right, according to my insane sister with a DVM and PhD, Covid is a Russian bioweapon with HIV DNA and they're releasing it sequentially in world cities to keep the hysteria going.

No end to crazy shit going around the net.

Posted on: 3/17 1:34
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Re: Coronavirus is now in Hudson County
#8
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Quote:

MDM wrote:
Went to Stop&Shop yesterday... the toilet paper racks were completely cleaned out.

So you think we are at the beginning of something out of the movie "12 Monkeys" and the first thing you panic buy is toilet paper?


Dude on JC Reddit thinks that stockpiling 200 rolls was not panic buying at all. People are bizarre. After the Times story about the nationwide "capitalists" who stripped every dollar store within a 200 miles of their homes of masks and sanitizer to sell on Ebay, I guess anything is possible. Will there be guys standing on the corner wearing a mask saying: "Psst, need a roll? $10..."

Posted on: 3/15 18:47
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Re: "ThaWheelMan" For the LOVE OF GOD, Haud yer wheesht!
#9
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Quote:

Haggis wrote:
Seriously mate.
Or is this a bot?

My top theory is that it's actually Dan Falcon trying to drive a few views to his moribund JCList.

Posted on: 3/14 15:42
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Re: 107 New York Ave - Zoning Board Meeting at City Hall 2/20
#10
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Quote:

heightsrepman wrote:
A Bayonne box with a driveway cutout would not benefit global warming or the housing crisis. Neither will a 75 unit, 75 parking space building.

The 75 units will so help the housing problem. And without parking the NIMBY's will kill it dead. There is nothing so sacrosanct in JC as street parking, mess with it at your peril.

Parking>housing crisis, global warming or transit expansion

Posted on: 2/27 18:58
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Re: Jersey City Bike Lanes... WTF is wrong with bike riders
#11
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Quote:

MikeyTBC wrote:
Quote:

TheBigGuy wrote:
Has anyone else noticed bike riders not using the spaces just for them? Can they be cited by traffic regulations?

I know... you can't fix rude, stupid and dangerous.


Has anyone else noticed that cars are now driving and parking IN the protected bike lanes forcing riders to move out into traffic? Because I have on a daily basis.

Can they be cited by traffic regulations?

I know... you can't fix rude, stupid and dangerous.


Shocking news, many people are rude, stupid and dangerous no matter what their vehicle, and sometimes on foot! How many times have you had someone pop out of a store door right in front of you without even looking?

Posted on: 2/10 16:47
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Re: METS Charter School to Shut Down
#12
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Quote:

MDM wrote:
Quote:

brewster wrote:
Good. Charters were never about staying open forever, good or bad, just like District schools. They should be cloning the successful models and putting down the unsuccessful ones.


Unfortunately it appears the Murphy's administration policy is to block new Charter schools from opening. I was following the efforts of a group here in Jersey City to open a Montessori based charter, but it appears their application will never be approved under the current regime in Trenton.

It was the first time in at least a decade that the state has rejected every charter school bid in a cycle, and this time without even interviewing the applicants, according to charter-school advocates.

https://www.njspotlight.com/2018/10/18 ... ects-latest-two-hopefuls/


Far as I can tell the Charter issue is a mess from both sides. I like the outsider idea, but don't think "for profit" has a place. The moral hazard is too great. LCCS is a great model: nonprofit, separate union contract. On the other side the bloated districts see them as a threat and will do anything to stop them instead of downsizing their ridiculously expensive administrations to fit the size of their student body, whatever that may be.

Posted on: 2/5 22:59
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Re: METS Charter School to Shut Down
#13
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Good. Charters were never about staying open forever, good or bad, just like District schools. They should be cloning the successful models and putting down the unsuccessful ones.

Posted on: 2/5 17:49
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Re: Plan calls for high-rise to replace 75-year-old public housing complex in JC
#14
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Quote:

MDM wrote:
Quote:

bodhipooh wrote:
I have been in many European town squares that also happen to sit atop a massive lot and the only thing that gives it away is seeing cars emerging from the ground in the periphery of said squares.



This thread is reminding me of a low budget scifi movie from the '90s called 'Circuitry Man'. One of the plot devices was that the underground of the US became one gigantic parking garage. You could travel from LA to NYC via the parking garages.


Let me guess, it was shot entirely in parking garages?

Posted on: 2/4 19:18
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Re: Plan calls for high-rise to replace 75-year-old public housing complex in JC
#15
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Quote:

bodhipooh wrote:
I fully understand that wanting the city to support/encourage/subsidize underground parking lots is a pipe dream, but it certainly is NOT because it is an impossible engineering challenge. Other cities and countries around the world have figured out how to make it happen, even places with elevations even lower than ours.


It's not the excavation that's the problem, its that the next time the city floods that garage becomes a water tank like many underground garages in Lower Manhattan did during Sandy. I honestly have no problem with some lower floors of hi rises being parking as long as they create retail on the ground floor.

I would also posit that convenient metered parking for shoppers is a completely different issue than residential parking. Everybody wants to support their local merchants, except if it costs them a street spot!

Posted on: 2/4 18:05
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Re: Plan calls for high-rise to replace 75-year-old public housing complex in JC
#16
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I advocate taking a few street parking spots away from local residents and making them metered. I don't think that's so radical compared to demanding massive underground parking lots! Seems obvious to me that anyone suggesting the latter has never dealt with DTJC's water issues. If you've ever had to drive your car up to high ground ahead of a storm you wouldn't even consider it!

As for Europe, I assume the construction and operation of those underground is subsidized like most European infrastructure. We don't roll like that in "what's in it for ME" America.

Posted on: 2/3 16:49
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Re: Plan calls for high-rise to replace 75-year-old public housing complex in JC
#17
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Quote:

JCGuys wrote:
Quote:

Yvonne wrote:
It is obvious some folks on JClist do not go to public meetings in various neighborhoods, it is not Yvonne, it is hundreds of people complaining about loss parking, especially bikes lanes at the expense of cars. There were hundreds of people at Hudson Catholic School including St. Peter's University, making the same complaint. Not to mention, the businesses that are hurt because shoppers go else. Really, how selfish are some comments. In fact the city should do a survey on the people of people that shop in Bayonne or other towns due to the loss of parking.


Thanks for proving my point. Parking, parking, parking but no concern on how parking impacts housing affordability.


Or transit. You could put BRT on a set of N-S JC roads and have a virtual subway, except for...parking. And I actually agree with part of Yvonne's position, more short term parking for local commerce. But what we should have is more and better metered parking in commercial districts the way Hoboken has. But that's a non-starter, since it would take away resident street parking. Even Key foods should have a row of 15 minute meters out front, If I want to drop in for eggs or zucchini on my way driving home from somewhere, I can't, since the daylighting of the corners there's not even illegal spots to use.

Posted on: 1/31 17:17
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Re: Plan calls for high-rise to replace 75-year-old public housing complex in JC
#18
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Quote:

JCGuys wrote:
How could such a goal be accomplished? Eliminate the scourge of R1 Housing Zoning in the Heights.

A Bayonne Box can easily rent for around $2,500. If that same plot of land housed four or six units, the property owner could rent for a lot less while still making a very handsome profit.

But what about the PARKING!!!!!!!!!!!

Interesting article in the Times yesterday. It's possible density may finally be getting talked about as a solution to high costs instead of rent control.

Everything You Think You Know About Housing Is Probably Wrong
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/28/art ... ng-skyscraper-museum.html

Posted on: 1/30 23:34
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Re: Hudson Cinemas closed?
#19
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It's crazy that there's no Walmart on SI or anywhere in NYC. Amazing that the community boards can keep them out. So I guess if their heart is set on Walmart, paying the $6.88 toll S Islanders get as a political bribe might be worth it.

Posted on: 1/25 18:04
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Re: Hudson Cinemas closed?
#20
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Quote:

bodhipooh wrote:

I am sure that was part of it, and they probably also figured they would get people from JC, and Staten Island. According to someone I once met that works at the Walmart down the road, on weekends they get lots of people from SI who cross into NJ to shop and load up in gas.

But, that's the thing: I have been in the Bayonne Costco mid-week, and weekends, mornings, afternoons, and evenings, and never seen it crowded. The most people I ever saw there was less than half the crowd you would normally see in Teterboro or Clifton. To be quite honest, I much prefer it that way: it makes for a more pleasant experience, and also makes it possible to get in and out quickly if you are in a hurry. But, it is definitely surprising how empty it is in there regularly. It is unlike any other Costco I have ever visited.


Why would a Staten Islander come here and pay a toll when they have their own? Teterboro is in a class by itself, I've never been there when it was anything but packed. But the low volume at Bayonne has already had effects, they stopped carrying fresh kosher beef because it wasn't moving, and the frozen was discounted my last trip so maybe that's gone now too. If the fresh kosher chicken stays I'll be surprised. I do wonder how many of the whole frozen Halal lambs they sell.

Posted on: 1/24 22:17
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Re: Hudson Cinemas closed?
#21
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Quote:

bodhipooh wrote:
The best thing that has happened to Bayonne is the Costco opening. Surprisingly, it is never as crowded as you would think.


Yeah, I think they miscalculated: cheap land and a suburban style store vs more customers. Had they built an urban style store Downtown like the one in Red Hook, or like the HD, they'd have had a lot more wealthy customers within a short distance.

These big national chains have bean counters that look at the high land cost or rent in dense areas and veto it without seriously taking customer density into account. Years ago before they opened Jersey stores I contacted Harbor Freight and suggested they open one on 440. That's between 2 cities of 250k each. Their response was they don't open stores with that high rents, even though they had stores in little towns of 30k out west. They simply could not wrap their heads around the hugely larger customer base per store.

Posted on: 1/24 17:20
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Re: Hudson Cinemas closed?
#22
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With the amount of development east of 440 in Bayonne I can't imagine they'll just let that S Cove theater stand dormant.

Posted on: 1/23 23:38
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Re: Heritage in the crosshairs: Historic JC church demolished
#23
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And the alternative was.....what? The author does not say. A church already doesn't pay taxes, if the parish doesn't need it, doesn't want it, doesn't want to pay to maintain it, and it doesn't lend itself to residential conversion, then...what? The city maintain it as a monument to something? Subsidize it's reuse as something below the market value of the land?

I think there should be landmarks, but not every old building is a landmark. I like to see things preserved, like I'd like to see the Cap1 bank on Newark & Jersey preserved even though it's not unusual for a bank of that period, but I think locking a city in amber can be bad too. There's a lot of economic pressure to increase the density of JC and the similar areas of the outer boroughs, resisting that is one cause of the housing crisis.

Posted on: 1/7 21:41
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Re: House Inspector to avoid--John Estes, Regional Home Inspection
#24
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While no one can catch everything, in my experience there's a wide range of competence in this field. My 1st purchase the guy was lame, just had a checklist and filled in everything "marginal". Of course it was, it's an unrenovated 100 year old house! 2nd, DICO Home Inspectors (unfortunately the original guy retired) did a meticulous job and explained everything he saw to me. 3rd by an different DICO guy, trained by the 1st, was not quite as informative.

Don't get me started on appraisers!!!

Posted on: 12/28 16:36
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Re: JC teachers who made 99K or more in 2019
#25
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Quote:

caj11 wrote:
As for the people living in tax abated buildings, what is the issue there?


Yvonne likes to pretend that abated properties pay nothing, rather than PILOTS that pre-reval were often way more than she and her brownstone brethren were paying. Controlling expenses of unionized municipal employees is a big problem, but unrelated to abatements.

Interesting article here:https://www.brookings.edu/blog/brown-c ... teachers-work-long-hours/

Quote:
The bottom line on deciding on compensation is whether you’re paying enough to get a sufficiently large supply of sufficiently good employees. In other words, if you think we have more great teachers than we need you should be okay with lower compensation rates. Contrariwise, if you think we need more great teachers than we have on board then you should want to raise salaries. That’s how a market system works—you get what you pay for.


Gist is economics says you either you have shitty teachers who are underpaid, or great teachers who are paid well. The market says you can't have great teachers who are underpaid, or they'd be somewhere else where they can be paid more. So we have a problem, we have a shitty system with some of the best paid teachers in the country. Go figure.

Posted on: 12/5 23:30
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Re: JC teachers who made 99K or more in 2019
#26
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Quote:

Yvonne wrote:
My salary was private, it did not come from the public and did not affect anyone's taxes and it was not $99K. I just saw my former neighbor's house listed in today's paper under tax lien. Reval brought up his taxes and now he is in a hole for $30,000. $7,500 goes to the public school from his $30,000. But in the meanwhile, some people live in tax abated buildings and use the public schools and have no concern about losing their homes. The issue is the affordability of living in JC and paying taxes that steals people homes. The lien list has 37 pages of people in tax lien. Secaucus is 20 percent of JC population, had eleven names in lien which would be 55 people if the same size as JC. It is about the affordability of living in this city. So, nicky, spend $1.50 on the Jersey Journal and see the results of giving some teachers $99K plus. Public education is not free, it cost people money and homes.


Yvonne, the lien list really has little to do with anyone actually getting their property seized, all the tax mayhem here has simply led to a lot of confusion about when and what to pay. I have ended up there when the bank screwed up and didn't pay the tax on time and when the water bill got screwed up. Perhaps Secaucus actually gets it's budget and tax bills in on time and communicates with it's citizens.

Posted on: 12/5 17:02
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Re: Fluorescent bulb disposal
#27
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Quote:

MDM wrote:
[quote]
hero69 wrote:
thanks. i will check out. also. i heard that ballast tend to fail over time. can i do bypass method with motion sensor lights ?[quote]


That would depend on the sensor used. The clients I work with now are just changing out the fixtures instead of doing bulb swaps. The fixture cost has come down so much in the past 5 years it makes more sense just to put in a new fixture.

Some LED fixtures have options for integrated motion / occupancy sensors.


For shoplights the fixture replacement has always been cheaper. I bought one at Costco recently that I was very excited about that had a built in motion detector, but the damn thing just sat there going on and off by itself with nothing near it and the sensor at it's lowest setting.

Posted on: 2019/11/22 16:49
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Re: Fluorescent bulb disposal
#28
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Quote:

jimvfx wrote:
Hi all,

Does anyone know how I can go about disposing of old fluorescent tubes (I have about a dozen of them).

Will normal trash pick them up?

Thanks in advance!

best

Jim


One option is bring them to Home Depot, I've brought bags of them there.

Posted on: 2019/11/18 1:31
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Re: New Rent Control Ordinance
#29
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Quote:

borisp wrote:
Somehow there is an undying belief among politicians that war against real estate owners would lead to an abundance of affordable real estate.


It's an example of a Liberal "zombie idea" that balances the Conservative ones like "tax cuts raise revenue". Any rent control legislation should be tied to drastic zoning reform. Period. Coast to coast, zoning is what causes housing shortages and thus high rents, not landlords.

Posted on: 2019/10/31 15:59
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Re: End of AirBnB in Jersey City?
#30
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Quote:

neverleft wrote:
\Also says the 5 rooms have push button coded locks gee wouldn’t that make it a hotel?
.


I have pushbutton locks on my apt and basement doors, does that make my home a hotel?

Posted on: 2019/10/28 0:56
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