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Re: Council moves to defer $14.8 million in pension payments
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I actually feel kind of sorry for the younger JC employees who are paying into the pension system (and who have no choice but to make 100% of their contribution since it's automatically deducted from their pay) since their money is largely being used to pay current retirees and they're unlikely to ever see pension payments themselves. Because at some point, the city is going to have to admit that an unfunded pension plan is no pension plan and drop it entirely.

Of course, when I actually interact with some of the younger JC employees (I'm talking to you, Parking Authority), I feel slightly less sorry for them...

Posted on: 2009/12/16 16:14
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Re: Corzine signs law limiting handgun purchases - Represents a victory for Jersey City Mayor Jerramiah
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Quote:

nasal_avenger wrote:
"This is not to say, of course, that correlation proves causation - it does not. No studies have been able to show that higher rates of gun ownership are the cause of the higher murder rates - or that lowering rates of gun ownership decreases murder rates."

I agree. I was simply trying to point out the logical fallacy in the propaganda I have been hearing in the news lately.

"So neither side of the debate currently has the evidence it really needs to show whether gun control should be an important aspect of public policy efforts to decrease violent crime."

Not quite - in the absence of concrete evidence showing that stricter gun laws reduce violent crime, there is absolutely no justification to waste resources drafting, passing, and enforcing gun laws that - once again - GREATLY impact law abiding citizens like myself. The arguement shouldn't be "show me how fewer gun laws reduce crime." We should be asking "Why on earth are we making all this effort when no one can show that it makes any difference?"


It's often close to impossible to prove causation in the real world, so a strong correlation is actually a pretty good starting point when making public policy. Since there is a strong positive correlation between gun ownership rates and murder rates (meaning, when one is high the other is, too), seeing what happens when you reduce gun ownership rates is not a bad way to proceed, given the available data.

You may be right, though, that it's not the best way - and that's it's politically popular because it seems easier as compared to changing another correlated factor, like poverty rates.

Posted on: 2009/12/15 21:10
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Re: Gentrification?
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Quote:

crushthedemoniac wrote:
Quote:

ianmac47 wrote:
The summary of the article was basically urban areas were so gutted by white flight that the neighborhoods hit rock bottom and couldn't support basic services, but once gentrification took hold, population density increased and brought in money that improved available services which was better for everyone. Moreover, people often aren't pushed out of gentrified neighborhoods.


Your talking about gentrified areas out side of NYC right?


No, the article focused on research into the effects of gentrification in Harlem (Manhattan) and Clinton Hill (Brooklyn). @ianmac47's summary is right on - and the article is pretty short, so you can read it yourself in about a minute.

Posted on: 2009/12/15 19:59
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Re: Corzine signs law limiting handgun purchases - Represents a victory for Jersey City Mayor Jerramiah
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Quote:

susiederkins wrote:
Quote:
Just one more observation...the new attack that antis are making is that we in NJ have high \"gun crime\" (of course, other crime is OK) because of lax laws in other states. HOW COME THOSE OTHER STATES HAVE LOWER CRIME RATES THAN NJ IF IT IS SO EASY TO GET GUNS THERE?


+10000000

Yes. The argument that there is high gun crime in NJ because criminals can get guns in Virginia should translate into even HIGHER gun crimes rates in Virginia---but it doesn\'t.



Without weighing in on either side, a few paragraphs in defense of properly using and understanding statistics:

You can\'t just say \"Virginia has looser gun laws and a lower crime rate than NJ, so more guns don\'t lead to more crime.\" To make a meaningful comparison, you have to control for other differences between the states that could account for the different crime rates. And, once you\'ve done that, you still can\'t just assume a cause-and-effect relationship (just because two statistics are related doesn\'t mean one causes the other).

When other variables are properly controlled for, studies consistently show that there is a strong relationship between more gun ownership and higher murder rates. This relationship holds true when comparing US cities, states, and regions, as well as when comparing the US to other countries.

This is not to say, of course, that correlation proves causation - it does not. No studies have been able to show that higher rates of gun ownership are the cause of the higher murder rates - or that lowering rates of gun ownership decreases murder rates.

So neither side of the debate currently has the evidence it really needs to show whether gun control should be an important aspect of public policy efforts to decrease violent crime.

http://www.factcheck.org/askfactcheck ... _more_or_less_common.html

Posted on: 2009/12/15 19:34
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Re: New Jersey drug dealers get a civil rights victory
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Just to be clear, the non-violent drug crime where judges are most likely to exercise sentencing leniency is individual drug use/abuse where no other crime is involved.

Those convicted of drug dealing or drug use that leads to any other crime (from reckless driving to robbery or murder) are unlikely to get much sympathy from any judge and will still be given stiff penalties including significant jail time.

Posted on: 2009/12/14 15:08
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Re: HELP! JFK to Harborside Plaza (Jersey City)
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Quote:

hero69 wrote:
I think the most reliable solution would be to take PATH to Penn Station, then take LIRR to jamaica station and then take the AirTrain. I am always surprised at how quick and reliable this is. No hassles, no traffic, no subway breakdowns, cheaper!


You're absolutely right that LIRR to AirTrain is a great way to get to JFK (HopStop says it's 3 minutes faster than taking the A), but (and not to give you a hard time) at $2.50 the subway is cheaper (LIRR fare is $8.00 peak/$5.75 off-peak). ;)

Posted on: 2009/12/10 15:55
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Re: Council considers changing parking rules
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Quote:

hamlet wrote:
It is about time. The booting policy is completely unfair and needs to be changed. Go Steven Fullop!!!

Next, we need to address the sweeper scam! That things doesn't even pick up garbage of the streets, just smears it around. I'm sick of the $42.00 tickets already, either get something that really cleans the streets, or let us sleep in peace in the morning.

I know Steven a little, and he seem to really care about our city. Lets hope the system doesn't break him down (for our sake).


To your point about street sweeping, last year the NY Times ran an interesting opinion piece (by a former NYC Dept. of Transportation asst. commissioner) about the right and wrong ways to keep city streets clean: http://www.nytimes.com/2008/07/13/opinion/13nelson.html

The type & frequency of Jersey City street sweeping falls squarely into the "wrong" category (wrong equipment, inefficient, costs too much, etc.).

Posted on: 2009/12/7 16:31
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Re: HELP! JFK to Harborside Plaza (Jersey City)
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FYI - it's $40 (flat rate) from JFK to World Trade. You could probably convince the cab driver to take you all the way to JC for $80 total (it's not a metered trip so negotiate the price up front). You'll probably need to be able to give directions from the Jersey side of the Holland or Lincoln tunnel. You could also schedule a car service in advance for about the same price ($80-90).

If you need a cheaper option, you can take the subway to the PATH. At JFK, look for the Air Train signs - take Air Train to Howard Beach. Transfer to the A train (subway) heading Uptown (toward Inwood/207th Street). Get off the A train at Chambers Street and look for signs pointing you toward the E train (toward the rear of the train). Head in that direction (you don't want to take the E but you do want to exit the station near the E train entrance). As you come down the ramp toward the E train turnstiles (on your left), you'll see a set of stairs on your right. Come up those stairs and walk straight ahead to the WTC PATH (the entrance is on the left at the end of the block). If you end up coming out a different exit, you'll need to walk around the block to get to the PATH - just ask anyone which way to head for WTC.

Posted on: 2009/12/4 17:02
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Re: PATH (pathetic attempt at transporting humans)
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Quote:

Brooklynboy wrote:
OK Why is it everyday when I return from Manhattan to Grove Street none of the machines take bills.Sometimes either my Smartcard or Metrocard is running low. I would rather do it upon my return when I am just going home than stand in line in the morning . The morning people, from my own experience, either do not know how to work the machine or scramble trying to find change to make their purchase. I know I know I could do it elsewhere but have you ever tried to use the machines @ 14th and Christopher street in the hurricane like winds. Ok that's all for now


@Brooklynboy: I just started using the auto-replenish feature on the PATH SmartLink card and, so far, it rocks. Every time my card falls below a certain amount (I think it's $5), it automatically adds another $20. I was wary of trusting PATH not to screw it up but it's worked beautifully. Turns out not having to stand in line behind (seemingly) every tourist/person who's never used a touch screen really is priceless...

Posted on: 2009/12/4 15:33
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