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Re: Gov. Chris Christie to suburbs: Drop dead
#61
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Quote:

Adonis wrote:
Thank God somebody, anybody, is cutting government spending.


I know. I don't see what the fuss is about. If you don't have funds, you gotta cut.

http://www.state.nj.us/treasury/omb/p ... ensguide/pdf/citguide.pdf

Last year's NJ Budget: $29 Billion
Broad breakdown:

41% State Aid
32% Grants-In-Aid
12% Operations Executive
3% Operations ,Legislature and Judiciary
7% Debt Service
5% Employee Benefits, Rent, Utilities

State Aid:includes Education Aid programs, Municipal Aid, Property Tax Relief programs,
General Assistance, and Aid to County Colleges.

Grant-In-Aid:includes Property Tax Relief programs, Medicaid, Pharmaceutical
Assistance to the Aged and Disabled, Nursing Home and long-term care alternative
programs, and support for Higher Education.

Operations Executive:includes funding for adult prisons and juvenile facilities, State
Policeandotherlawenforcementprograms HumanServicesinstitutions veteranshomes
Police and other law enforcement programs, Human Services institutions, veterans homes,
Children and Families and the Public Advocate Departments.


NB: on page 34, a more specific budget breakdown is offered. Ironically, the more specific breakdown is almost as neat as the broad breakdown because a few specific items make up a majority of the total budget:
School Aid by itself is 35% of the NJ state's budget (!)
Property tax relief accounts for 9%
Medicaid 10%
Other Health/Welfare 11%

Posted on: 2010/3/17 13:12
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Re: Sterling Waterman -- Candidate for JC Board of Education 2010
#62
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Welcome to JClist, Mr. Waterman.

Quetions for you:

What is the Concerned Parents Association? How many members? Who are the members?
What is the School Leadership Committee? How many members? Who are the members?
What is the Coalition of Parent Council Presidents? How many members? Who are the members?

Why so many organizations?

Why are you running for the Jersey City Board of Education?
Obviously you think you can do a better job, but specifically what objectives will you achieve?

Posted on: 2010/3/15 3:16
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Re: New York Times: A Warm Winter for Rentals -- 50 Columbus nicer than her old place in Chelsea
#63
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I'm with you, Xerxes.
Downtown Jersey City will forever remain a fine place to rent. The proximity to Manhattan is something that the government can't screw up (assuming the Holland Tunnel and PATH remain open).

But the ineptitude, indifference, and (alleged) corruption of the local government appears to be, regretfully, an unsolvable problem in my eyes.

The problem is a structural one: downtown Jersey city, for all of it's assets (great ocation, great tax base, etc) is attached to a large city with horrendous schools, horrendous infrastructure and an electorate that, for whatever reason, is unable to vote the bums who are in power out of office.

Until downtown Jersey City can detach itself from the rest of Jerey City, asinine decisions and the asinine people that make those decisions will remain in office and continue to levy ridiculous taxeswhile providing minimal services to the people of Jersey City..

This is the sad truth.

Posted on: 2010/3/14 16:29
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Re: Wheres the best place to buy fruit in bulk (frozen or fresh) in the area?
#64
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Quote:

Skeetchard wrote:
Looking for a reasonably priced place to get fruit in bulk. I'm looking for about 40 lbs of bananas and strawberries and 20 lbs of rasberries and blueberries every couple of weeks.

Anybody have any good ideas?


Sorry I don't have any specific recommendations, but generally speaking, for the volume of fruit you need, you may consider speaking to neighborhood grocers to get direct contacts with their wholesalers or talk to restaurant owners for similar suppliers. Alternatively, you could probably strike a deal with the grocers and they could order the fruit for you. I'm sure if you gave them money up front, they would have no problem with that...

Posted on: 2010/3/14 16:10
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Re: The Rosina - new construction luxury condo
#65
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Estimate:
The units vary in size and layout, but I would think that the lowest price units will start at just below $500K while other units could be listed at ~$550K

I would be surprised if any of the units will actually sell for more than $475K even assuming that the finishes are impeccable.

No one has seen the interiors, but we all know that the units will be rather dark because of the building's positioning.

Posted on: 2010/3/2 4:06
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Re: Real estate prices in Jersey City
#66
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Quote:

chiefdahill wrote:
Quote:

GetTheFacts wrote:
Well thriftyT you are probably a real estate agent or a real estate broker who has never heard of William B May...
are an assistant of someone like I was, and the information is about 300-400 hours of education in value not another only a 150 from being an agent and 2 years.


Dude, he's not a RE broker. It's called punctuation. He's not the only one that has difficulty reading your posts. So do I. Try using more periods instead of the run on sentences.


GetTheFacts... I find it hard to believe that your grammar is truly that bad, therefore I believe that you are a troll. Even if you didn't intend to knock the thread off topic, you effectively clogged up the thread.

I'll re-post my comment and await coherent replies:
--------------------------------------------------
Has the market bottomed?

What would cause JC real estate values to go up? The fndamentals are poor. To wit:

- interest rates have no where to go but up.
- excess inventory (both new construction and resales) exists.
- the specter of higher property taxes looms.
- bad public schools.
-imminent expiration of the home-buyer tax credit.

All of the above place a downward pressure on downtown Jersey City real estate.

What upward pressures exist?

Posted on: 2010/2/27 23:14
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Re: Real estate prices in Jersey City
#67
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Home away from home


Quote:

GetTheFacts wrote:
It depends on location, technical even though the prices have come down, the amount being paid is across the city only a 2% dropping taking into considerations all area of the city and not the area closest to Manhattan which technical still increasing very slightly, and the stockmarket coming back aleady, so they will never see the drop like they have never seen in over 150 years. The biggest drop is most like Greenville Followed by Jersey City Heights, and that is those properties close enough to Hoboken to be appraised on the Hoboken Values and not the Jersey City ones around them, as after downtown, the next safest area to hold is Journal Square area since it maybe 3 PATH Stops but does least have 1. The farther one is from that train the great it would have been, and without those water taxis, places like Port Liberte would have been include, but it just happens to have that water taxi for the rush hours going directly over to that island. And with that PGA turnament which was schedule even before that golf course was build because they are planned that far in advance should help paint picture of what those home cost. The biggest of that condo complex is townhouses, the the most expensive property every in this city was in that complex by alway double any brownstone in downtown, and only 4 bedrooms too and 3 baths.

So no matter where you live, firgure it out as unlikely 99.999999999999999999999999 percent of the rest of the real estate I have worked as only an assistant to the #1 company of that city who was number 2 in age, and only had 200-250 agents on that island or 1 of the other 4 boroughs as the rest were worth the trouble to them.

And I left it, today or in the last 2 years agents are making shit in either Jersey City or the rest of Hudson County nor in Manhattan whether it is Rentals or sales, and across that river you pay normally almost 2 months rent not 1.

Just a tip.


I have no idea what you are talking about.

Posted on: 2010/2/27 4:37
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Re: Real estate prices in Jersey City
#68
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Home away from home


Has the market bottommed?

What would cause JC real estate values to go up? The fndamentals are poor. To wit:

- interest rates have no where to go but up.
- excess inventory (both new construction and resales) exists.
- specter of higher property taxes looms.
- bad public schools.
-imminent expiration of home-buyer tax credit.

All of the above place a downward pressure on downtown Jersey City real estate.

What upward pressures exist?

Posted on: 2010/2/27 2:01
 Top 


The Rosina - new construction luxury condo
#69
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Posted on: 2010/2/23 1:38
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Re: Morgan Lighthouse
#70
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Is there a tax abatement on these condos? When does/did it expire?

Posted on: 2010/2/1 19:55
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Re: Saffron, Jersey City
#71
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Quote:

busker191 wrote:
Has anyone been to the building. Seems sales just opened.


The building has been finished since October. The building had been open to the public for inspection in October 2009 prior to the auction on November 8th. Hundreds of people got an up-close look at everything including myself.

Very clean design, mediocre finishes. But the deal-breaker is the tiny spaces.

Most of the 2-BRs are around 900 sq ft. The BR's are small such that the utility for most people is less than that of a 1 BR. No separate kitchens in any of the units. The kitchen sink, counter and fridge reside along the wall of the living area. This less-than-ideal feature is necessitated by the lack of sq. footage...

Posted on: 2010/1/21 22:16
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Re: The Saffron - 213 Newark Avenue
#72
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Quote:



To be clear, I already own in JC. I did visit the Saffron and need to dispute some of your language. First, 2 BRs "starting" at 399k obviously implies that the least desirable, smallest 2BR unit(s) are available for 399k. This does not in anyway imply anything that you are insinuating related to going belly up. I love the drama some of you like to create, it is truly absurd.


The facts:
As of 11/2009, the lowest priced 2 BR apt at the saffron was listed at $515K.

Today, the lowest priced 2 BR apt is available for $399K
--------------------------------------------------------------

Interpretation:
1. The market has really tanked in 2 months.
2. The initial asking price of $515K was too high and the developer realizes it now and is making adjustments.
3. The initial asking price of $515K was never seriously considered by the developer, but was printed on all the brochures nevertheless possibly to elicit and encourage generous bids at auction. The developer has now advertised the real asking price they wanted all along.
4. Some mixture of the above scenarios.


It's called "logic", people. Use it.

Posted on: 2010/1/15 19:17
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Re: The Saffron - 213 Newark Avenue
#73
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Quote:

The facebook page is comical. NEVER trust a page that disallows posts.

Posted on: 2010/1/15 1:55
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Re: The Saffron - 213 Newark Avenue
#74
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Quote:

thriftyT wrote:

As I wrote before, the List Prices are:
~$360K - $415K for 1 BR units and $515K - $590K for the 2BR units.

editorial:
I agree with Tino...more appropriate pricing at the Saffron would be as follows:
1 BRs should all be under 300K. The small 1 BR's aren't even worth 250K, IMO.
The 2 BRs are small. All but four of the 2BRs are under 1050 sq ft. The largest 2 BRs should sell for no more than $450K. The sub-900 sq foot 2 BRs should sell for less than $400K.

One of the reasons I'm not more generous in pricing these is the mystery 5 yr tax abatement. The taxes are going to balloon after 5 yrs like an ARM. Except that no one can even give a straight answer about what the payments will be after the reset. I thought ARMs were bad, but these NYC-area tax abatements on new constructions are at best a damper on long-term values on residences and at worst are simply another bubble waiting to burst.


Well, I guess the Saffron changed their minds. Just got an e-mail from them announcing that 2 BR units there start at $399K. Those of you that insisted that these units are worth upper $400's now have your chance to put your money where your mouth is...

Posted on: 2010/1/14 23:54
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Re: when tax abatements expire....?
#75
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Quote:

moxiebaby wrote:
Hello,
We're considering a condo that has a current tax abatement. How can we predict what the real tax rate will be once the abatement has run out? ...
.


The short answer is: No one knows. And therein lies part of the problem...

Posted on: 2010/1/12 12:13
 Top 


Re: BJs - What are some of the good things to buy there?
#76
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Home away from home


Always be wary what you buy at BJ's.

I just found one of the worst deals at BJ's tonight:
108 Newborn Pampers for $29.90

At Target:
84 Newborn Pampers for $18.99

In other words:
216 newborn Pampers for $59.80 at BJ's
252 newborn Pampers for $56.97 at Target

The insult to injury was that I had a $5 off coupon at BJ's for the diapers and Target's price for the diapers (sans coupon) was still cheaper...

Posted on: 2009/12/15 2:37
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Re: Real estate prices in Jersey City
#77
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Home away from home


Quote:

margel wrote:

...As for interest rates, they generally track with the health of the overall economy. When rates are higher, incomes and unemployment will also be better, and more people will have more money to put into homebuying. That's how it's supposed to work, at least...


A well articulated interpretation of the conventional wisdom, Margel. Since you understand this, you must also understand that since our government is printing money like there's no tommorrow, it is somewhat likely that the dollar will continue to weaken and that US Treasuries may become increasingly less desirable for investors thereby necessitating an increase in interest rates (both Treasury and mortage interest rates).
In other words, there is a good possibility of a scenario where the US economy continues to slog along while interest rates drift upwards. The doomsday scenario for real estate may not have happened yet, but may happen soon. And it may not be something that unwinds in 3-5 years. Just take a look at what happened in Japan when real estate valuations didn't match fundamentals in the early 90's...

Posted on: 2009/12/7 22:14
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Re: Real estate prices in Jersey City
#78
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Quote:

Scottacus wrote:

The 100k down payment is a leveraged equity investment -- basically the same as buying stocks on margin - and will appreciate or depreciate at a multiple of whatever the rate of appreciation of the home is.

Roughly speaking, if you put down 100K on a 400K home that appreciates at 3% per year, your 100K will appreciate at 12% per year. Conversely, if your home loses value you will lose 4x the amount too. Just like any leveraged investment.

Over time you are deleveraging as you build up equity, which reduces the multiplier effect (up or down). So there is actually a very important time component to how you think about your down payment as an investment.

Again, there are many factors to consider but your down payment isn't dead money -- you just need to think about how you would otherwise invest it and compare possible returns...


A lot of accurate and thoughtful comments on this thread. Thanks everyone!

For the past 2 or 3 years, a down payment on a residence in downtown JC would have been better put use if it was literally stuffed under a mattress. If it was in a savings account, then that was just genius!

No one knows what will happen, but I'm still in nervous nellie mode. I don't want to sink $100K into a residence, decide I have to move in three or four years and have to eat a loss of $40K or so...

Posted on: 2009/12/7 22:03
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Re: Real estate prices in Jersey City
#79
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So to complete my thoughts...

In my estimation, it is extremely risky to pay $500K for a condo around here. Of course there can be upside, but there seems to be a higher probability that values will continue to decline because the fundamentals (schools, income levels, employment rates) are shaky at best.

Posted on: 2009/12/5 21:32
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Re: Real estate prices in Jersey City
#80
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Another approach to evaluate real estate values (some would argue it's the only true way to evaluate RE values) is to consider the income of people buying and living in the area. i.e., what can the people afford to pay for housing?

Assuming a $400K condo:
100K down payment.
300K mortgage at 6%, 30 year fixed
$6000 annual property tax
$500/month maintenance

That would be a $2800 monthly payment. (not including PMI or other expenses)

So think to yourself: How many people who want to live in downtown Jersey City for an extended period of time have that kind of money?

Also, consider the fact that I'm using very conservative numbers here... There are many $500K, $600K condos with 8-10K annual taxes and $700/month maintenance. So how many people have that kind of money to pay $3K-$4K/ month?

Quote:

longtimeJC wrote:
... What happens when interest rates start going up?


It's not rocket science. longtimeJC posed the rhetorical question and the answer is: RE values go down, for those of you that haven't considered this (very likely) scenario.

Posted on: 2009/12/5 21:26
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Re: Where are there shelters, etc. in Jersey City where we can make non-perishable food donations or
#81
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St. Matthew's Church
83 Wayne St
Jersey City, NJ 07302-3513
(201) 432-9319

Currently accepting non-perishables such as:
parmalat milk
canned beans, soups, meals, vegetables, fruit
boxed dry goods (cereal, stuffing, etc.)
dried pasta, rice

keywords:
food bank
food pantry

Posted on: 2009/11/23 13:17
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Re: The Saffron - 213 Newark Avenue
#82
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Quote:

FletchFletcher wrote:
Thrifty, if you think pre-construction auction prices are the same thing as market prices, you really need to get your head examined!!!

Auctions are nothing but bottom feeders. Expect the market for Saffron to be 10% to 20% higher than the pre construction offering.


1. These aren't pre-construction prices. The Saffron is completed and ready for people to move in.

2. I actually believe that the auction prices are slightly above market prices. Keep in mind that ALL units were up for auction and that the 13 units that were sold were the MOST DESIRABLE UNITS. The leftovers are what are left to be sold.

3. I don't understand why you consider the auction goers to be bottom feeders. They were the ones most excited to own at the Saffron; that's why they showed up with a $15K check in hand and were armed with 20% down payments. Are you saying that the non-bottom feeders were staying away from the fray purposely to avoid buying the MOST DESIRABLE UNITS at the Saffron and purposely to ponying up 20% more money for less desirable units? I don't follow your logic if that's what you're saying.

Posted on: 2009/11/15 21:12
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Re: 213 Newark Avenue Named "The Saffron"
#83
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Quote:

FletchFletcher wrote:

The building looks great, the finishes are nicer than Dixon Mills and Crescent Court and anyone who thinks 475K is a lot for a two bedroom in Downtown JC should not be on a message board talking about real estate!



I may need my head examined, but you my friend, need data.

9 Coles St, Jersey City NJ 07302
2 br | 2 ba | 1,073 sqft | Condo
$395K
http://www.trulia.com/property/108481 ... s-St-Jersey-City-NJ-07302

306 2nd St, Jersey City NJ 07302
2 br | 2 ba | 910 sqft | Condo
$417,900
http://www.trulia.com/property/108590 ... d-St-Jersey-City-NJ-07302

126 Mercer St, Jersey City NJ 07302
2 br | 2 ba | 900 sqft | Condo
$385,000
http://www.trulia.com/property/108614 ... r-St-Jersey-City-NJ-07302

65 2nd St, Jersey City NJ 07302
2 br | 2 ba | 918 sqft | Condo
$450,000
http://www.trulia.com/property/108675 ... d-St-Jersey-City-NJ-07302

220 3rd St, Jersey City NJ 07302
2 br | 2 ba | 1,100 sqft | Condo
$299,000
http://www.trulia.com/property/107833 ... d-St-Jersey-City-NJ-07302

281 4th St, Jersey City NJ 07302
2 br | 2 ba | 1,000 sqft | Condo
$439,000
http://www.trulia.com/property/108490 ... h-St-Jersey-City-NJ-07302

I could go on. And on. And on.

Posted on: 2009/11/15 21:01
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Re: The Saffron - 213 Newark Avenue
#84
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Quote:

thriftyT wrote:
[quote]

It is a fact that there are multiple 2 br listings within a two block radius of the Saffron selling for less than $400K and the list prices for the 2 BR's are just simply too high. $590K will easily get you a 2 BR with a Manhattan view in downtown JC.

editorial:
I agree with Tino...more appropriate pricing at the Saffron would be as follows:
1 BRs should all be under 300K. The small 1 BR's aren't even worth 250K, IMO.
The 2 BRs are small. All but four of the 2BRs are under 1050 sq ft. The largest 2 BRs should sell for no more than $450K. The sub-900 sq foot 2 BRs should sell for less than $400K.


I usually don't like to quote myself, but I just wanted to pat myself on the back for being EXACTLY spot on with the market price points from my Nov. 3rd post...

Posted on: 2009/11/8 20:55
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Re: 213 Newark Avenue Named "The Saffron"
#85
Home away from home
Home away from home


The pre-grand opening auction occurred today. Here are the details:

Parking for today's buyers will be $150 / month. (Parking will be available for rent for $200 for other buyers)

Not more than 250 people in attendance including brokers.
(I estimate ~ 110 interested parties were present.)
~28% discount on taxes for first 5 years.
A total of 13 units were sold when I left. It is possible that one or two more units sold after I left...
8 condos were sold by auction, the other 5 were sold when people "stepped up" after the auction to buy at the price that the last auctioned unit sold for.
Sale prices and unit numbers are listed below. The nominal auction price is in parentheses. (10% was added to the nominal auction price to come up with the final sales price that the winning bidders will pay for the condo).

The auction results in order were:

2 BR ($400K) $440K #505
2 BR ($390K) $429K #513
2 BR ($385K) $423K #401
2 BR ($358K) $393.8K #108
2 BR ($360K) $396K #312

step-up 2 BR ($360K) $396K #502
step-up 2 BR ($360K) $396K #105
step-up 2 BR ($360K) $396K #313

1 BR ($275K) $302.5K #504
1 BR ($288K) $316.8K #506
1 BR ($275K) $302.5K #306

step-up1 BR ($275K) $302.5K #404
step-up1 BR ($275K) $302.5K #510

Posted on: 2009/11/8 20:52
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Re: Best fried chicken?
#86
Home away from home
Home away from home


abeman just confirmed what I suspected about Soul Flavor's fried chicken: It isn't really fried chicken! It is really dry chicken, though...

Besy fried chicken is still the fast-food benchmark of excellence: Popeye's at the Newport mall.

Posted on: 2009/11/4 2:28
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Re: The Saffron - 213 Newark Avenue
#87
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Home away from home


Quote:

jcboyz wrote:
The building is in a great location! Its a couple blocks from the Grove St Path and Newark Ave is becoming the new hot spot. That easy to determine since there are new buildings and reastaurants opening monthly as well as the new lighting and trees!

Crystal Point is way more expensive. One bedrooms starting where Saffron's two bedrooms start at! That post had to be from a C Point sales person.

I think this building is a home run! Especially for the one bedrooms starting under 300K.


As I wrote before, the List Prices are:
~$360K - $415K for 1 BR units and $515K - $590K for the 2BR units.

It is a fact that there are multiple 2 br listings within a two block radius of the Saffron selling for less than $400K and the list prices for the 2 BR's are just simply too high. $590K will easily get you a 2 BR with a Manhattan view in downtown JC.

editorial:
I agree with Tino...more appropriate pricing at the Saffron would be as follows:
1 BRs should all be under 300K. The small 1 BR's aren't even worth 250K, IMO.
The 2 BRs are small. All but four of the 2BRs are under 1050 sq ft. The largest 2 BRs should sell for no more than $450K. The sub-900 sq foot 2 BRs should sell for less than $400K.

One of the reasons I'm not more generous in pricing these is the mystery 5 yr tax abatement. The taxes are going to balloon after 5 yrs like an ARM. Except that no one can even give a straight answer about what the payments will be after the reset. I thought ARMs were bad, but these NYC-area tax abatements on new constructions are at best a damper on long-term values on residences and at worst are simply another bubble waiting to burst.

Posted on: 2009/11/3 18:35
 Top 


Re: Best pizza in JC????
#88
Home away from home
Home away from home


My vote is for Delenio
357 7th St.

Not really sure how to categorize their pizza, but the quality of the ingredients/toppings is top notch and it isn't greasy.

Posted on: 2009/10/26 21:00
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Re: The Saffron - 213 Newark Avenue
#89
Home away from home
Home away from home


Quote:

Tino wrote:
I went to the open house too and aside from being brand new and in a good (not excellent) location, I was very disappointed. They cut a lot of corners (one drawer in the kitche, no storage at all in the bathroom) and the entire back-side of the Maxwell faces a creepy alley while the other side has the bank one side staring you in the face. For Crystal Point prices, I expected a lot better.


For people moderately interested or seriously interested about cooking, there are no gas hook-ups for stoves. The ranges are electric only.

Also, I'd like to hear all y'all's opinion on this place out of curiosity.

Posted on: 2009/10/19 19:04
 Top 


Re: 213 Newark Avenue Named "The Saffron"
#90
Home away from home
Home away from home


Quote:

Xerxes wrote:
thrifty,

Thanks for the info.

Did you measure off that square footage: 560-750 for a 1 bedroom or is that "landlordese" square footage. Do you think the estimates are accurate for, as the Floridians call it "square footage under air," aka a place you could wwalk into or put a box in?

Could you make a guesstimate of what the taxes will rise to after the 5 year abatement period?


The square footage figures are straight from their official documents. I have no reason to doubt them. The spaces are small, but feel large for the size due to the 10 foot ceilings.

As for the taxes after the abatement period... I have no idea.

Posted on: 2009/10/12 19:51
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