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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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Perfect example of why we shouldn't prematurely assign storm names to tropical systems.


http://www.nj.com/weather/index.ssf/2 ... to.html#incart_river_home

Posted on: 8/30 12:53
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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Posted on: 8/29 15:25
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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Glad it is just Irma. Accuweather is saying Saturday night & Sunday we will likely get Harvey Rain as it moves up and out. Thanks!

Posted on: 8/29 15:10
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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[quote]
GrovePath wrote:
Are these maps of Irma - or is that storm something else?

[quote]


Irma.. if it reaches enough strength to get a name.

The maps below are 24 hours.. not 4 hours.. typo.

Right now the updated models are showing it going more out to sea. Just some rain for us with whatever left over from Harvey adding to the rain totals.

Posted on: 8/29 13:51
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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Are these maps of Irma - or is that storm something else?

Quote:

MDM wrote:
Model runs for the next 4 hours: GFS, Euro, and GEM shifted the path West, but lowered the storm intensity. Basically, the storm, which may not be named, is more of a classic Nor'Easter.

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Posted on: 8/29 9:56
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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Was hoping to go fluke fishing from Ocean City MD this Sunday. Do these charts mean I should be planning something else?

Posted on: 8/29 9:41
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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Model runs for the next 4 hours: GFS, Euro, and GEM shifted the path West, but lowered the storm intensity. Basically, the storm, which may not be named, is more of a classic Nor'Easter.

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Posted on: 8/29 8:00
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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Thanks MDM, this information can still be useful for those who have relatives, friends etc along the lower part of the eastern seaboard.

Posted on: 8/26 17:03
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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Posted on: 8/26 16:03
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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Latest forecast track from Weatherbell.. Just rough surf for the Jersey Shore and Long Island:


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Posted on: 8/26 9:22
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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Speaking of hurricanes:

Rockport mayor pro tem: Those who don't evacuate should mark Social Security number on their arm

The mayor pro tem in the coastal city of Rockport, Texas had a grim message for residents in his city ahead of Hurricane Harvey’s arrival:

Those who don’t evacuate the city should prepare for the worst by writing their name and social security number on their arm.

“Those that are going to stay -- it’s unfortunate -- but they should make some type of preparation to mark their arm with a Sharpie Pen,” said Rockport Mayor Pro Tem Patrick Rios. “Put their social security number on it, and their name.”


http://www.wfaa.com/weather/rockport- ... er-on-their-arm/467378851

Posted on: 8/25 22:41
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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If it did develop, it would not have been premature.. What you're really saying is MDM should be a fortune teller...

Posted on: 8/25 19:16
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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Posted on: 8/25 18:54
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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It is currently an unnamed storm with not one mention on local news. Yes, MDM is usually good with updates but this one is a bit premature. I don't worry about flooding as I live in the Heights.

Posted on: 8/25 18:43
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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You either don't understand what "hype" really is or you never have been impacted by flooding in JC. MDM's posts are always informative and helpful for those residents who prefer notice of a potential storm earlier rather than later.

Posted on: 8/25 17:43
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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I agree. A little early to hype an unnamed storm.


Quote:

RichMauro wrote:
Another slow news day on the forum??

Sheesh....

Posted on: 8/25 14:41
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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+1- MDM is awesome - storm info has always been very helpful in pre-planning for my business.

Quote:

GrovePath wrote:
Quote:

RichMauro wrote:
Another slow news day on the forum??

Sheesh....


I really appreciate the heads up to things like this - it aids in planning.

Posted on: 8/25 10:19
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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Quote:

RichMauro wrote:
Another slow news day on the forum??

Sheesh....


I really appreciate the heads up to things like this - it aids in planning.

Posted on: 8/25 9:22
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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Another slow news day on the forum??

Sheesh....

Posted on: 8/25 7:32
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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Quote:

brewster wrote:

At that point I'd say it's not the amount of rain but the state of the tide. There's got to be a stage at which, barring a surge, DT simply can't fill any higher, it's cup runneth over. Hoboken is far worse in that respect, it's a bowl in the back sections.


Downtown is a bowl in the back as well. Ever hear of Harsimus Creek? Go look at the tracks under Newark Ave by the cemetery. It's a perpetual pond over there.

Posted on: 8/24 23:03
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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Great to hear! Sorry for Texas & Harvey.

Posted on: 8/24 22:49
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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Quote:

MDM wrote:
So if this model is correct, surfers will be happy.

But fishermen will not be, storms mess up the water.

Posted on: 8/24 22:00
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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The updated GEM model shows Irma now not making landfall. Still shows it as a might big-ass storm awfully close to the cost.
So if this model is correct, surfers will be happy.


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Posted on: 8/24 21:38
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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Quote:

brewster wrote:
I fucking hate hurricane season.


At this time of year the trees still have all their leaves - so branches and trees fall.

Posted on: 8/24 19:26
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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Quote:

MDM wrote:
Could be worse.. you could be in Texas having a Cat 3 storm park itself on top of you for over 24 hours. Latest Euro model is predicting near 30 inches of rain.

Imagine what downtown Jersey City flooding would be like with that amount of rain!


At that point I'd say it's not the amount of rain but the state of the tide. There's got to be a stage at which, barring a surge, DT simply can't fill any higher, it's cup runneth over. Hoboken is far worse in that respect, it's a bowl in the back sections.

Posted on: 8/24 18:46
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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Quote:

brewster wrote:
I fucking hate hurricane season.


Could be worse.. you could be in Texas having a Cat 3 storm park itself on top of you for over 24 hours. Latest Euro model is predicting near 30 inches of rain.

Imagine what downtown Jersey City flooding would be like with that amount of rain!


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Posted on: 8/24 17:13
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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I fucking hate hurricane season.

Posted on: 8/24 14:11
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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Quote:

tern wrote:
Aunt Irma is coming to visit us all!

Robin.


Hopefully will be better behaved than that wretched witch Aunt Sandy!

Posted on: 8/24 13:10
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Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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Aunt Irma is coming to visit us all!

Robin.

Posted on: 8/24 11:03
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Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday
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Most models are showing it forming off of Cape Hatteras, then turning out to sea. The GEM model (Environmental of Canada) shows it slamming into South Jersey as a Cat 2.

The guys over at Weatherbell are not discounting this possibility, as the storm could get dragged west from interaction with the hurricane that is presently on course to hit Texas. If the remains of the Texas hurricane head Northeast, then the GEM model becomes more of a possibility.

Screenshot of the GEM model below and what the other models are showing:


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Posted on: 8/24 10:41
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