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Re: Potential wild weather September 11 - 13th
#91
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Latest forecast:

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For us, what we get will depend how far inland Florence goes before it heads North. The GFS at one point put the center of the storm dead over top of us, with rain totals near 15 inches.

The Euro model puts the storm farther inland, sparing us the worst of the rain.

The 5 models I checked all show a major hurricane headed for the Carolinas.

Edit: The GFS now shows Florence stalling off North Carolina for about three days, then it appears to head out to sea.

Posted on: 2018/9/8 13:56
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Re: Compact Front Loading Washing machines
#92
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AJ Madison is a pretty good site for looking up what is available in washers and just about everything else.

I have bought a number of appliances through them. Their customer service has been pretty good at resolving the two times I had issues.

Posted on: 2018/9/6 20:59
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Re: Potential wild weather September 11 - 13th
#93
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GFS updated this afternoon and no longer has Florence turning out to see. It biases though farther North than the Euro model, putting a weak Cat 2 landfall just North of the Chesapeake. This would direct storm surge into the Delaware bay.

If this scenario happened, we would be spared devastating winds and storm surge. The rain totals, would be impressive though.

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The rest of the models update overnight.

Posted on: 2018/9/6 2:31
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Re: Potential wild weather September 11 - 13th
#94
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Weatherbell forecast updated as of this morning. Cat 4 with a cone from the Chesapeake down to South Carolina.

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Posted on: 2018/9/5 12:59
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Re: Potential wild weather September 11 - 13th
#95
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The models have been schizophrenic over the past two days. They can't figure out if the storm is going out to sea or heading for the East coast.

The Euro and the GFS had the storm as of yesterday going out to sea. Only the Canadian had it coming to the East coast. This morning, everything is back hitting or coming very near the East coast.

All three models put the storm at a Cat 2 when it gets near land Thursday - Friday.

The Canadian is slow moving storm which will make a rough surf, surge, and some rain storm for us.

The GFS is like the Canadian, but puts the storm a little farther South.

The Euro has the storm actually coming a shore, which later will bring a hell of a lot of rain, after the storm tracks North.


Canadian:
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GFS:
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\
Euro:
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Posted on: 2018/9/5 11:40
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Re: You know your neighborhood is gentrifying when...
#96
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Quote:

sullyx wrote:
who's the fella walking the pig around Hamilton Park neighborhood? saw him this weekend.


I was wondering what happened to that guy. Earlier he would walk the pig around Pershing Field.

I expect at some point seeing someone walk a Savannah cat. The F-1's cost $10k+




Posted on: 2018/9/4 14:46
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Potential wild weather September 11 - 13th
#97
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Multiple weather models are showing hurricane Florence showing up off the North American Eastern seaboard mid month. Unfortunately for us, there is a big blob of above normal temperature water off the coast, which can feed the hurricane energy.

The Weatherbell people think that the storm has a good chance of making it to the East coast due to the interactions with a high pressure system forming North of us.

Later this week, the Weatherbell crew thinks they will have a better handle on what is happening with the storm track. Hopefully, it will curve out to see before getting near us.



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Posted on: 2018/9/3 2:42
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Re: You know your neighborhood is gentrifying when...
#98
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The multiple $0.99 stores are slowly replaced with the likes of Dulce de Leche bakery coffee shop.

I am hoping for Turning Point opening up a place here. Going to the one in Hoboken is a bitch.

Posted on: 2018/8/31 2:49
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Re: You know your neighborhood is gentrifying when...
#99
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Quote:

brewster wrote:
Quote:

MDM wrote:
Now if the tear-downs would stop being replaced with Bayonne boxes.


I wonder what the land price point for that is. Clearly DT reached it some time ago, there hasn't been a BB built here in a long time. There's some price that the BB developers say "nope", even though they probably could still outbid a nicer project because their construction is so damn cheap.

This is the DT infill: https://www.zillow.com/homedetails/323 ... -NJ-07302/162085086_zpid/


Christ... $1.85 million. What is the monthly rent equivalent?

Posted on: 2018/8/30 19:18
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You know your neighborhood is gentrifying when...
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... the rundown bar down the street, that used to have the alcoholics stumbling out of at noon time, is renovated into a hipster bar with live music.


Now if the tear-downs would stop being replaced with Bayonne boxes.

Posted on: 2018/8/30 18:54
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Re: Donald Trump Solidifies World Peace
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Haven't seen too many details on the new trade agreement, except for:

Mexico will raise the minimum wage for car manufacturers to something close to $16 per hour. The new Mexican government minimum wage increase are part of its platform. I think auto assembly workers wage is currently about $3 per hour.

Countries like China can't ship product through Mexico to avoid tariffs. This was a major issue with the US trade negotiators. Something has to be made in Mexico to be tariff free.


A Chinese aluminum company stockpiled more than $2 billion worth of aluminum in Mexico with intentions of shipping it to the U.S. to avoid tariffs on Chinese exports, according to a Wall Street Journal report on the scheme. Records linked China Zhongwang Holdings (chzhf, -4.26%) with the stockpile, much of which has since been moved to Vietnam following a U.S. trade group’s petition to the Commerce Department, the WSJ said.

http://fortune.com/2016/09/09/chinese ... ystery-mexican-stockpile/

Posted on: 2018/8/28 14:53
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Re: Boonton Reservoir
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Quote:

JCman24 wrote:
Did you also know Jersey City's water does not contain fluoride? There are probably countless preventable cavities in peoples' teeth. Yvonne, what do you think?


My kid was given a script for vitamins with fluoride because of this.

Posted on: 2018/8/14 14:18
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Re: Boonton Reservoir
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Quote:

brewster wrote:
Quote:

MDM wrote:
He tried drinking nothing but bottled water... the locals would refill bottles with tap water.


That actually did kill my dad, very slowly. He contracted a rare Hepatitis (E or some such) in Ukraine when he didn't want to offend his hosts even though he saw them filling the bottle from the tap. He eventually died of cirrhosis and the liver cancer it caused. (No, he was not a drinker at all)



Yikes!

I thought what my wife got on her business trip to India was bad (eventually leads to fatal cancer). Her issue was curable with very expensive and physically brutal dose of antibiotics.

Posted on: 2018/8/14 14:17
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Re: I've seen pre-construction sales but this is ridiculous! 323 7th St
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What is propping it up are the very low interest rates due to Federal Reserve intervention, lots of foreign money coming into the USA, and Boomer generation investment capital.

The Fed is now trying to unwind its balance sheet and the Boomers are retiring (though many are staying in the work force beyond age 67). When the Boomers retire, a lot of investment money is going to dry up as it is converted into safe stuff like T-bills. A lot of real estate will hit the market as Boomers need to cash out and move to smaller (cheaper) homes / condos. Gen X is too small and Gen Y has waaay too much debt to absorb it all.

As for the foreign money... some of what is coming in doesn't care about positive returns. It is "money getting out of Dodge". If the investors only loses half of it, it is better than losing all of it back in his/her home country. Real estate is where a good chunk of that money is going.

Posted on: 2018/8/14 13:40
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Re: Recommendations- Dumpster Rental
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Quote:

brewster wrote:
[quote]

I just called Interstate and they said the smallest they have is 10 yard. How do you have a 1 yard?


Maybe they only have the small ones for people who rent monthly? I keep one in my garage since I have so many small project going on that require me to get rid of stuff.

Posted on: 2018/8/13 20:38
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Re: I've seen pre-construction sales but this is ridiculous! 323 7th St
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Home away from home


Quote:

brewster wrote:
The listing for 323 7th St popped up in my Zillow feed. 4br, 5 bath SFR, $1,850,000. Beautiful pics of interior and exterior, and currently an empty lot!


This is a sign we are approaching the next property crash.

Posted on: 2018/8/13 20:36
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Re: Recommendations- Dumpster Rental
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Quote:

Dinger wrote:
$650 is ungodly expensive for a 20 yard C&D. I've got an account but pay about $350. It's more for concrete.


It would have been under $400 if I wasn't mixing asbestos tile, ceramic tile, concrete, wood, etc. all in one container.

Posted on: 2018/8/9 17:57
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Re: Recommendations- Dumpster Rental
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Quote:

tern wrote:
What are their prices?

Robin.


Depends one the size (large trash can to 40 cubic yard dumpster), the type of trash, and how often you want it picked up. Two years ago, I got a quote for $650 for a 20 yarder, but that included being able to put non-friable asbestos shingles in it.

I have a 1 yard I use to put old rugs and other stuff in (no cardboard allowed) as I am doing apartment refreshes. It gets picked up once per month. Costs me about $60 a month for the service.

Posted on: 2018/8/9 17:30
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Re: Recommendations- Dumpster Rental
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I currently use Interstate Waste. Pickups have been reliable and the customer service is good.

Posted on: 2018/8/9 13:26
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Re: Do you recommend particular Roofer?
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Quote:

hero69 wrote:
just curious? is there a reason why people don't seem to use metal or plastic/pvc roofing? are they a lot more expensive?


PVC was a lot more expensive than bitumen. After putting a white coating on the bitumen, I didn't see an advantage using PVC.

If I ever do new construction with a pitched roof, I plan to look at kynar coated steel. I have seen them used where houses get exposed to some pretty brutal winds, ice, hail, etc....

Posted on: 2018/8/2 1:40
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Re: Where is Gov Murphy?
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Posted on: 2018/8/1 15:06
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Re: Boonton Reservoir
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Quote:

My Dad came down with Cholera after a business trip to Mexico. He tried drinking nothing but bottled water... the locals would refill bottles with tap water. I remember nearly dying on the couch in the living room. For some odd reason, he never went to the hospital.


Posted on: 2018/8/1 2:05
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Re: its official: entire heights must buy resident parking permit
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In my part of the Heights, street parking became scarce after two developments were completed. Both have indoor parking, but it seems the tenants prefer parking on the street.

Parking fees too expensive?

Posted on: 2018/7/27 13:31
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Re: Home Invasion Leaves Woman Tied Up, Robbed Inside Jersey City High-Rise Apartment Building (Monaco)
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Quote:

Adonis wrote:

It's not just mistrust of banks. It's also to avoid paying taxes.


A while back I was interviewing people for a nanny job. I am a rarity in this endeavor... I pay on the books using a payroll service. This made hiring someone difficult.

* Applicants not permitted to work legally. Typically they came to the US on a student or tourist VISA and never left. Therefore, can only accept cash.

* Legal US resident or citizen, but on Medicade / Section 8 / WIC or other forms of welfare. Can't show income or would lose benefits.

* Legal US resident or citizen, but just doesn't want to pay taxes.

These women were with their current employer making $20+ an hour. I interviewed one who was getting $1k cash a week. Another was clearing over $85k (live-in nanny + teacher for a very wealthy family).

So yeah... if actively saving cash, I can see racking up a $100k in cash after a number of years working.

Posted on: 2018/7/20 17:11
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Re: Home Invasion Leaves Woman Tied Up, Robbed Inside Jersey City High-Rise Apartment Building (Monaco)
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Quote:

JCGuys wrote:


This is true, but I still don't understand how banks are mistrusted


Because of things like this:

European leaders reached an agreement with Cyprus early on Monday morning that closes down the island's second-largest bank and inflicts huge losses on wealthy savers.
Business Today: sign up for a morning shot of financial news
Read more

Those with deposits of less than €100,000 (£85,000) will be spared, but those with more than €100,000 – many of them Russian – will lose billions of euros under draconian terms aimed at preventing the Mediterranean tax haven becoming the first country forced out of the single currency.


Another example is when the Kirchner regime in Argentina seized private savings to bail out the public pension system.

In my wife's country, during the '97 financial crisis, bank deposits became "unavailable" for withdrawal.

It will interesting to watch what happens when Italy's issue with billions in bad loans finally comes to a head.





Posted on: 2018/7/20 17:01
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Re: Home Invasion Leaves Woman Tied Up, Robbed Inside Jersey City High-Rise Apartment Building (Monaco)
Home away from home
Home away from home


Where is the victim from?

I have found it pretty common for non Americans (excluding Western Europeans) to mistrust banks and keep everything in cash.

It took a while to convince a Turkish woman I knew to put the $50k she had in cash into an actual bank account.

Posted on: 2018/7/19 20:13
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Re: Legal Weed Is Coming to New Jersey
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Quote:

brewster wrote:


Home brewing wasn't legalized till 1979.
https://beerandbrewing.com/the-day-homebrewing-was-legalized/


Wow.. so my Mom was a criminal back in the '70s when she had me collect dandelions flowers so we could make dandelion wine.

Posted on: 2018/7/18 17:14
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Re: Legal Weed Is Coming to New Jersey
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If either NY or NJ pass it, the taxes placed on it will be so onerous, people will just buy from the black market (like what happens now with cigarettes).

https://fee.org/articles/high-taxes-on ... ck-into-the-black-market/

Weed is even easier than tobacco (which has to be dried, toasted, and has other stuff added to it). Anyone with $500 to spare can setup a pretty nice grow room in a spare closet.

Posted on: 2018/7/17 21:33
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Re: 2017 Reval ~ Property Inspections
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So we are getting are new tax bills this month, due August 10th?

Posted on: 2018/7/11 12:18
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Re: Plastic bag bans coming to Hoboken, Jersey City
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Quote:

JCman24 wrote:

But seriously, is the site of the project going to be in NJ?


The plan is NYC first, which has a far worse problem with municipal waste and sludge than NJ. NYC plans to be 'zero landfill use' by year 2030 and wants to have only single stream collection (one truck picks up everything instead of separate pickups for paper, cans/bottles, regular trash). So far, they are nowhere near of meeting those goals. Plus, the trash export costs have exploded ($400 million a year starting in 2019).

Right now, NYC is 100% dependent on landfills as far away as Arkansas or use waste to energy incinerators here in NJ and upstate NY. Remember the big dust-up about the garbage transfer station proposed for Greenville yards? That was part of NYC plan to send trash to the Covanta incinerator in Newark.

Plus NY state is looking at a potential electric grid collapse once Indian Point shuts down in a few years. New England is in even worse shape. The New England grid was within days of collapse during the cold snap late last December through early January. The power plants couldn't get enough natural gas and switched over to oil. Oil reserved dropped by 60% or so because the fuel was being used up faster than it could be imported. NY has the same issue.. lack of gas pipeline capacity.

The plant proposed can make electricity, liquid fuels, or renewable natural gas (or combination thereof).

There is a site in Hudson County that looks interesting (not in Jersey City) to setup shop.

Posted on: 2018/6/29 16:46
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