Re: Hurricane Irma possible: Next Tuesday thru Thursday

Posted by MDM on 2017/9/8 10:16:44
Weatherbell update for the morning puts Irma almost dead up the center of Florida, with her weakening to a Cat 2 by Sunday. Wind gusts on the perimeter of the storm will still be in the 115 mph range. So far all the models except the GEM (Canadian) have very similar paths. The Canadian, which updated at midnight, still showed the storm going up the east coast of Florida, then making a second landfall in the Georgia / South Carolina region. The Canadian starts its next update around noon time today. The other models updated more recently.

The debate between the models is on intensity, which is between a strong Cat 4 to weaker Cat 5. I have included the HWRF model this time around as it does a good job showing estimated surface wind speeds.


Weatherbell Predicted Track

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